[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":1673},["ShallowReactive",2],{"library-redundancy":3,"library-sidebar-buffett":139,"library-sidebar-dao":1144,"library-sidebar-models":1446},{"id":4,"title":5,"body":6,"category":117,"date":118,"description":119,"extension":120,"meta":121,"navigation":129,"order":130,"path":131,"seo":132,"seoDescription":133,"seoTitle":134,"slug":135,"stem":136,"__hash__":137,"_collection":138},"models\u002Fmodels\u002Fredundancy.md","冗余与容错",{"type":7,"value":8,"toc":105},"minimark",[9,13,17,20,23,26,29,32,35,38,41,44,47,50,53,56,60,63,66,69,85,88,91,102],[10,11,12],"h2",{"id":12},"先看一个普通场景",[14,15,16],"p",{},"你的电脑里只有一份毕业论文，存在本机桌面。你觉得这样最简单、最高效。直到某天硬盘坏了。",[14,18,19],{},"备份平时看起来没用。出事的时候，它就是全部。",[10,21,22],{"id":22},"这个模型到底在说什么",[14,24,25],{},"冗余与容错就是在系统里保留备份和缓冲，让一个地方失败时，整个系统不会跟着崩。",[14,27,28],{},"冗余看起来像多余，但它是在给现实世界的意外留位置。",[10,30,31],{"id":31},"换个比喻",[14,33,34],{},"冗余像飞机上的多个发动机和备用系统。平时你希望它们永远用不上，但如果一个系统坏了，备用系统能让飞机继续安全运行。",[14,36,37],{},"真正重要的系统，不能只追求刚好能跑。",[10,39,40],{"id":40},"它为什么重要",[14,42,43],{},"极限效率很迷人。没有库存、没有备用人、没有现金、没有时间缓冲、没有备份，看起来都很轻。",[14,45,46],{},"但这样的系统很脆。只要一个环节出错，局部故障就会变成整体灾难。",[10,48,49],{"id":49},"芒格会怎么用它",[14,51,52],{},"芒格重视避免毁灭性错误。无论是财务杠杆、企业运营，还是个人生活，把系统推到极限都很危险。",[14,54,55],{},"留有余地，表面上降低了效率，实际上提高了生存概率。",[10,57,59],{"id":58},"一个反例什么时候它会被误用","一个反例：什么时候它会被误用",[14,61,62],{},"冗余不是浪费的借口。",[14,64,65],{},"如果一个团队用“我们需要冗余”来保留没人负责的流程、重复审批和低效岗位，那不是容错，是懒惰。关键是区分：这个备份是否保护了关键系统？",[10,67,68],{"id":68},"你是不是真的懂了",[70,71,72,76,79,82],"ul",{},[73,74,75],"li",{},"哪个环节失败会拖垮整个系统？",[73,77,78],{},"我是否为了表面效率删除了必要缓冲？",[73,80,81],{},"失败发生后，系统能不能降级运行？",[73,83,84],{},"我能不能说明冗余和安全边际有什么关系？",[10,86,87],{"id":87},"今天可以怎么用",[14,89,90],{},"检查一个你不能承受丢失的东西：",[70,92,93,96,99],{},[73,94,95],{},"重要文件有没有备份？",[73,97,98],{},"现金流有没有缓冲？",[73,100,101],{},"项目有没有替代负责人？",[14,103,104],{},"如果答案是否定的，你不是高效，你只是运气还不错。",{"title":106,"searchDepth":107,"depth":107,"links":108},"",2,[109,110,111,112,113,114,115,116],{"id":12,"depth":107,"text":12},{"id":22,"depth":107,"text":22},{"id":31,"depth":107,"text":31},{"id":40,"depth":107,"text":40},{"id":49,"depth":107,"text":49},{"id":58,"depth":107,"text":59},{"id":68,"depth":107,"text":68},{"id":87,"depth":107,"text":87},"工程学\u002F系统",null,"重要系统不能只追求极限效率，还需要备份、缓冲和失败后的恢复能力。","md",{"difficulty":122,"readingTime":123,"related":124,"sources":127},"进阶","5 分钟",[125,126],"margin-of-safety","second-order-effects",[128],"Poor Charlie's Almanack",true,12,"\u002Fmodels\u002Fredundancy",{"title":5,"description":119},"解释冗余与容错为什么是系统稳定性的基础，帮助普通读者理解效率和韧性的权衡。","冗余与容错｜思维模型","redundancy","models\u002Fredundancy","43I6kosFr7WfgzoBijaskIU775K0poKj0R_7eDoUcRM","models",[140,145,149,153,156,159,162,166,169,172,176,179,182,186,189,192,196,199,202,206,209,212,216,219,222,226,229,232,236,239,242,246,249,252,255,258,261,265,268,271,275,278,281,285,288,291,295,298,301,305,308,311,315,318,321,325,328,331,335,338,341,345,348,351,355,358,361,365,368,371,375,378,381,385,388,391,395,398,401,405,408,411,415,418,421,425,428,431,435,438,441,445,448,451,455,458,461,465,468,471,475,478,482,485,489,492,496,499,503,506,510,513,517,520,524,527,531,534,538,541,545,548,552,555,559,562,566,569,573,576,580,583,587,590,594,597,601,604,608,611,615,618,622,625,629,632,636,639,643,646,650,653,657,660,664,667,671,674,678,681,685,688,692,695,699,702,706,709,713,716,720,723,727,730,734,737,741,744,748,751,755,758,762,765,769,772,776,779,783,786,790,793,797,800,804,807,811,814,818,821,825,828,832,835,839,842,846,849,853,856,860,863,867,870,874,877,881,884,888,891,895,898,902,905,909,912,916,919,923,926,930,933,937,940,944,948,952,956,960,964,968,972,976,980,984,988,992,996,1000,1004,1008,1012,1016,1020,1024,1028,1032,1036,1040,1044,1048,1052,1056,1060,1064,1068,1072,1076,1080,1084,1088,1092,1096,1100,1104,1108,1112,1116,1120,1124,1128,1132,1136,1140],{"title":141,"slug":142,"category":143,"order":144},"1956 有限合伙协议","1956-you-xian-he-huo-xie-yi","致股东信",1,{"title":146,"slug":147,"category":148,"order":144},"巴菲特：1951年最看好的股票：GEICO 保险","ba-fei-te-1951nian-zui-kan-hao-de-gu-piao-geico-bao-xian","访谈与文章",{"title":150,"slug":151,"category":152,"order":144},"1994年伯克希尔股东大会","1994nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui","股东大会",{"title":154,"slug":155,"category":143,"order":107},"1957 巴菲特致合伙人信","1957-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",{"title":157,"slug":158,"category":148,"order":107},"巴菲特：1953年我最看好的股票：西部保险","ba-fei-te-1953nian-wo-zui-kan-hao-de-gu-piao-xi-bu-bao-xian",{"title":160,"slug":161,"category":152,"order":107},"1995年伯克希尔股东大会","1995nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":163,"slug":164,"category":143,"order":165},"1958 巴菲特致合伙人信","1958-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",3,{"title":167,"slug":168,"category":148,"order":165},"巴菲特：1957年我最看好的股票：人寿保险","ba-fei-te-1957nian-wo-zui-kan-hao-de-gu-piao-ren-shou-bao-xian",{"title":170,"slug":171,"category":152,"order":165},"1996年伯克希尔股东大会","1996nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":173,"slug":174,"category":143,"order":175},"1959 巴菲特致合伙人信","1959-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",4,{"title":177,"slug":178,"category":148,"order":175},"巴菲特：1957年最看好的股票：油气资产管理公司","ba-fei-te-1957nian-zui-kan-hao-de-gu-piao-you-qi-zi-chan-guan-li-gong-si",{"title":180,"slug":181,"category":152,"order":175},"1997年伯克希尔股东大会","1997nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":183,"slug":184,"category":143,"order":185},"1960 巴菲特致合伙人信","1960-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",5,{"title":187,"slug":188,"category":148,"order":185},"巴菲特：1972年巴菲特谈喜诗糖果","ba-fei-te-1972nian-ba-fei-te-tan-xi-shi-tang-guo",{"title":190,"slug":191,"category":152,"order":185},"1998年伯克希尔股东大会","1998nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":193,"slug":194,"category":143,"order":195},"1961 巴菲特致合伙人信","1961-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",6,{"title":197,"slug":198,"category":148,"order":195},"巴菲特：1974年击球啊,你这个笨蛋","ba-fei-te-1974nian-ji-qiu-a-ni-zhe-ge-ben-dan",{"title":200,"slug":201,"category":152,"order":195},"1999年伯克希尔股东大会","1999nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":203,"slug":204,"category":143,"order":205},"1961年中 巴菲特致合伙人信","1961nian-zhong-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",7,{"title":207,"slug":208,"category":148,"order":205},"巴菲特：1976年巴菲特谈GEICO","ba-fei-te-1976nian-ba-fei-te-tan-geico",{"title":210,"slug":211,"category":152,"order":205},"2000年伯克希尔股东大会","2000nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":213,"slug":214,"category":143,"order":215},"1962 巴菲特致合伙人信","1962-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",8,{"title":217,"slug":218,"category":148,"order":215},"巴菲特：1976年怀念恩师格雷厄姆","ba-fei-te-1976nian-huai-nian-en-shi-ge-lei-e-mu",{"title":220,"slug":221,"category":152,"order":215},"2001年伯克希尔股东大会","2001nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":223,"slug":224,"category":143,"order":225},"1962年11月 巴菲特致合伙人信","1962nian-11yue-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",9,{"title":227,"slug":228,"category":148,"order":225},"巴菲特：1977年谈通货膨胀","ba-fei-te-1977nian-tan-tong-huo-peng-zhang",{"title":230,"slug":231,"category":152,"order":225},"2002年伯克希尔股东大会","2002nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":233,"slug":234,"category":143,"order":235},"1962年12月 巴菲特致合伙人信","1962nian-12yue-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",10,{"title":237,"slug":238,"category":148,"order":235},"巴菲特：1979年谈股市","ba-fei-te-1979nian-tan-gu-shi",{"title":240,"slug":241,"category":152,"order":235},"2003年伯克希尔股东大会","2003nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":243,"slug":244,"category":143,"order":245},"1962年中 巴菲特致合伙人信","1962nian-zhong-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",11,{"title":247,"slug":248,"category":148,"order":245},"巴菲特：1982年谈指数期货","ba-fei-te-1982nian-tan-zhi-shu-qi-huo",{"title":250,"slug":251,"category":152,"order":245},"2004年伯克希尔股东大会","2004nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":253,"slug":254,"category":143,"order":130},"1963 巴菲特致合伙人信","1963-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",{"title":256,"slug":257,"category":148,"order":130},"巴菲特：1983年写给Louie Blumkin的信（内布拉斯加州家具百货","ba-fei-te-1983nian-xie-gei-louie-blumkinde-xin-nei-bu-la-si-jia-zhou-jia-ju-bai-huo",{"title":259,"slug":260,"category":152,"order":130},"2005年伯克希尔股东大会","2005nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":262,"slug":263,"category":143,"order":264},"1963年11月 巴菲特致合伙人信","1963nian-11yue-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",13,{"title":266,"slug":267,"category":148,"order":264},"巴菲特：1983年向Rose Blumkin 发出的正式意向收购书","ba-fei-te-1983nian-xiang-rose-blumkin-fa-chu-de-zheng-shi-yi-xiang-shou-gou-shu",{"title":269,"slug":270,"category":152,"order":264},"2006年伯克希尔股东大会","2006nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":272,"slug":273,"category":143,"order":274},"1963年12月 巴菲特致合伙人信","1963nian-12yue-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",14,{"title":276,"slug":277,"category":148,"order":274},"巴菲特：1984年哥大商学院演讲","ba-fei-te-1984nian-ge-da-shang-xue-yuan-yan-jiang",{"title":279,"slug":280,"category":152,"order":274},"2007年伯克希尔股东大会","2007nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":282,"slug":283,"category":143,"order":284},"1963年中 巴菲特致合伙人信","1963nian-zhong-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",15,{"title":286,"slug":287,"category":148,"order":284},"巴菲特：1985年谈投资","ba-fei-te-1985nian-tan-tou-zi",{"title":289,"slug":290,"category":152,"order":284},"2008年伯克希尔股东大会","2008nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":292,"slug":293,"category":143,"order":294},"1964 巴菲特致合伙人信","1964-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",16,{"title":296,"slug":297,"category":148,"order":294},"巴菲特：1986年《如何驯服“赌场社会”》","ba-fei-te-1986nian-ru-he-xun-fu-du-chang-she-hui",{"title":299,"slug":300,"category":152,"order":294},"2009年伯克希尔股东大会","2009nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":302,"slug":303,"category":143,"order":304},"1964年中 巴菲特致合伙人信","1964nian-zhong-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",17,{"title":306,"slug":307,"category":148,"order":304},"巴菲特：1986年在《华尔街日报》刊登的收购广告","ba-fei-te-1986nian-zai-hua-er-jie-ri-bao-kan-deng-de-shou-gou-guang-gao",{"title":309,"slug":310,"category":152,"order":304},"2010年伯克希尔股东大会","2010nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":312,"slug":313,"category":143,"order":314},"1965 巴菲特致合伙人信","1965-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",18,{"title":316,"slug":317,"category":148,"order":314},"巴菲特：1987年-关于股票指数期货的早期担忧","ba-fei-te-1987nian-guan-yu-gu-piao-zhi-shu-qi-huo-de-zao-qi-dan-you",{"title":319,"slug":320,"category":152,"order":314},"2011年伯克希尔股东大会","2011nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":322,"slug":323,"category":143,"order":324},"1965 巴菲特致股东信","1965-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",19,{"title":326,"slug":327,"category":148,"order":324},"巴菲特：1987年-我们可以从费雪（Phil Fisher）身上学到什么","ba-fei-te-1987nian-wo-men-ke-yi-cong-fei-xue-phil-fisher-shen-shang-xue-dao-shi-me",{"title":329,"slug":330,"category":152,"order":324},"2012年伯克希尔股东大会","2012nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":332,"slug":333,"category":143,"order":334},"1965年11月 巴菲特致合伙人信","1965nian-11yue-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",20,{"title":336,"slug":337,"category":148,"order":334},"巴菲特：1988年谈投资","ba-fei-te-1988nian-tan-tou-zi",{"title":339,"slug":340,"category":152,"order":334},"2013年伯克希尔股东大会","2013nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":342,"slug":343,"category":143,"order":344},"1965年中 巴菲特致合伙人信","1965nian-zhong-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",21,{"title":346,"slug":347,"category":148,"order":344},"巴菲特：1990年斯坦福法学院演讲","ba-fei-te-1990nian-si-tan-fu-fa-xue-yuan-yan-jiang",{"title":349,"slug":350,"category":152,"order":344},"2014年伯克希尔股东大会","2014nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":352,"slug":353,"category":143,"order":354},"1966 巴菲特致合伙人信","1966-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",22,{"title":356,"slug":357,"category":148,"order":354},"巴菲特：1991年 年喜诗糖果70 周年纪念","ba-fei-te-1991nian-nian-xi-shi-tang-guo-70-zhou-nian-ji-nian",{"title":359,"slug":360,"category":152,"order":354},"2015年伯克希尔股东大会","2015nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":362,"slug":363,"category":143,"order":364},"1966 巴菲特致股东信","1966-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",23,{"title":366,"slug":367,"category":148,"order":364},"巴菲特：1991年圣母大学演讲","ba-fei-te-1991nian-sheng-mu-da-xue-yan-jiang",{"title":369,"slug":370,"category":152,"order":364},"2016年伯克希尔股东大会","2016nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":372,"slug":373,"category":143,"order":374},"1966年11月 巴菲特致合伙人信","1966nian-11yue-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",24,{"title":376,"slug":377,"category":148,"order":374},"巴菲特：1991年巴菲特致所罗门股东信","ba-fei-te-1991nian-ba-fei-te-zhi-suo-luo-men-gu-dong-xin",{"title":379,"slug":380,"category":152,"order":374},"2017年伯克希尔股东大会","2017nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":382,"slug":383,"category":143,"order":384},"1966年中 巴菲特致合伙人信","1966nian-zhong-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",25,{"title":386,"slug":387,"category":148,"order":384},"巴菲特：1992年巴菲特奥马哈新闻俱乐部","ba-fei-te-1992nian-ba-fei-te-ao-ma-ha-xin-wen-ju-le-bu",{"title":389,"slug":390,"category":152,"order":384},"2018年伯克希尔股东大会","2018nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":392,"slug":393,"category":143,"order":394},"1967 巴菲特致合伙人信","1967-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",26,{"title":396,"slug":397,"category":148,"order":394},"巴菲特：1994年内布拉斯加大学演讲","ba-fei-te-1994nian-nei-bu-la-si-jia-da-xue-yan-jiang",{"title":399,"slug":400,"category":152,"order":394},"2019年伯克希尔股东大会","2019nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":402,"slug":403,"category":143,"order":404},"1967 巴菲特致股东信","1967-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",27,{"title":406,"slug":407,"category":148,"order":404},"巴菲特：1994年巴菲特谈施洛斯的信","ba-fei-te-1994nian-ba-fei-te-tan-shi-luo-si-de-xin",{"title":409,"slug":410,"category":152,"order":404},"2020年伯克希尔股东大会","2020nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":412,"slug":413,"category":143,"order":414},"1967年10月 巴菲特致合伙人信","1967nian-10yue-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",28,{"title":416,"slug":417,"category":148,"order":414},"巴菲特：1996年伯克希尔股东手册","ba-fei-te-1996nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-shou-ce",{"title":419,"slug":420,"category":152,"order":414},"2021年伯克希尔股东大会","2021nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":422,"slug":423,"category":143,"order":424},"1967年11月 巴菲特致合伙人信","1967nian-11yue-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",29,{"title":426,"slug":427,"category":148,"order":424},"巴菲特：1997年巴菲特谈微软的信","ba-fei-te-1997nian-ba-fei-te-tan-wei-ruan-de-xin",{"title":429,"slug":430,"category":152,"order":424},"2022年伯克希尔股东大会","2022nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":432,"slug":433,"category":143,"order":434},"1967年中 巴菲特致合伙人信","1967nian-zhong-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",30,{"title":436,"slug":437,"category":148,"order":434},"巴菲特：1998年佛罗里达大学演讲","ba-fei-te-1998nian-fo-luo-li-da-da-xue-yan-jiang",{"title":439,"slug":440,"category":152,"order":434},"2023年伯克希尔股东大会","2023nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":442,"slug":443,"category":143,"order":444},"1968 巴菲特致合伙人信","1968-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",31,{"title":446,"slug":447,"category":148,"order":444},"巴菲特：1998年华盛顿大学谈话","ba-fei-te-1998nian-hua-sheng-dun-da-xue-tan-hua",{"title":449,"slug":450,"category":152,"order":444},"2024年伯克希尔股东大会","2024nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":452,"slug":453,"category":143,"order":454},"1968 巴菲特致股东信","1968-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",32,{"title":456,"slug":457,"category":148,"order":454},"巴菲特：1999年内布拉斯加教育论坛演讲","ba-fei-te-1999nian-nei-bu-la-si-jia-jiao-yu-lun-tan-yan-jiang",{"title":459,"slug":460,"category":152,"order":454},"2025年伯克希尔股东大会","2025nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":462,"slug":463,"category":143,"order":464},"1968年11月 巴菲特致合伙人信","1968nian-11yue-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",33,{"title":466,"slug":467,"category":148,"order":464},"巴菲特：1999年巴菲特太阳谷演讲","ba-fei-te-1999nian-ba-fei-te-tai-yang-gu-yan-jiang",{"title":469,"slug":470,"category":152,"order":464},"2026年伯克希尔股东大会","2026nian-bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui",{"title":472,"slug":473,"category":143,"order":474},"1968年中 巴菲特致合伙人信","1968nian-zhong-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",34,{"title":476,"slug":477,"category":148,"order":474},"巴菲特：1999年巴菲特谈股市","ba-fei-te-1999nian-ba-fei-te-tan-gu-shi",{"title":479,"slug":480,"category":143,"order":481},"1969 巴菲特致股东信","1969-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",35,{"title":483,"slug":484,"category":148,"order":481},"巴菲特：2001年佐治亚大学演讲","ba-fei-te-2001nian-zuo-zhi-ya-da-xue-yan-jiang",{"title":486,"slug":487,"category":143,"order":488},"1969年10月 巴菲特致合伙人信","1969nian-10yue-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",36,{"title":490,"slug":491,"category":148,"order":488},"巴菲特：2001年保险业的FDIC","ba-fei-te-2001nian-bao-xian-ye-de-fdic",{"title":493,"slug":494,"category":143,"order":495},"1969年12月 巴菲特致合伙人信","1969nian-12yue-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",37,{"title":497,"slug":498,"category":148,"order":495},"巴菲特：2001年对话内大商学院","ba-fei-te-2001nian-dui-hua-nei-da-shang-xue-yuan",{"title":500,"slug":501,"category":143,"order":502},"1969年12月26日 巴菲特致合伙人信","1969nian-12yue-26ri-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",38,{"title":504,"slug":505,"category":148,"order":502},"巴菲特：2001年巴菲特谈股市","ba-fei-te-2001nian-ba-fei-te-tan-gu-shi",{"title":507,"slug":508,"category":143,"order":509},"1969年5月 巴菲特致合伙人信","1969nian-5yue-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",39,{"title":511,"slug":512,"category":148,"order":509},"巴菲特：2001年给全体经理人备忘录","ba-fei-te-2001nian-gei-quan-ti-jing-li-ren-bei-wang-lu",{"title":514,"slug":515,"category":143,"order":516},"1970 巴菲特致股东信","1970-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",40,{"title":518,"slug":519,"category":148,"order":516},"巴菲特：2002年哥大商学院演讲","ba-fei-te-2002nian-ge-da-shang-xue-yuan-yan-jiang",{"title":521,"slug":522,"category":143,"order":523},"1970年2月 巴菲特致合伙人信","1970nian-2yue-ba-fei-te-zhi-he-huo-ren-xin",41,{"title":525,"slug":526,"category":148,"order":523},"巴菲特：2002年股票期权与常识","ba-fei-te-2002nian-gu-piao-qi-quan-yu-chang-shi",{"title":528,"slug":529,"category":143,"order":530},"1971 巴菲特致股东信","1971-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",42,{"title":532,"slug":533,"category":148,"order":530},"巴菲特：2002年谁是真正的账房先生","ba-fei-te-2002nian-shui-shi-zhen-zheng-de-zhang-fang-xian-sheng",{"title":535,"slug":536,"category":143,"order":537},"1972 巴菲特致股东信","1972-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",43,{"title":539,"slug":540,"category":148,"order":537},"巴菲特：2003年《美国正滑向贸易赤字的危险边缘》","ba-fei-te-2003nian-mei-guo-zheng-hua-xiang-mao-yi-chi-zi-de-wei-xian-bian-yuan",{"title":542,"slug":543,"category":143,"order":544},"1973 巴菲特致股东信","1973-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",44,{"title":546,"slug":547,"category":148,"order":544},"巴菲特：2003年内布拉斯加大学 林肯分校--领导力课程演讲","ba-fei-te-2003nian-nei-bu-la-si-jia-da-xue-lin-ken-fen-xiao-ling-dao-li-ke-cheng-yan-jiang",{"title":549,"slug":550,"category":143,"order":551},"1974 巴菲特致股东信","1974-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",45,{"title":553,"slug":554,"category":148,"order":551},"巴菲特：2003年对话沃顿商学院学生","ba-fei-te-2003nian-dui-hua-wo-dun-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng",{"title":556,"slug":557,"category":143,"order":558},"1975 巴菲特致股东信","1975-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",46,{"title":560,"slug":561,"category":148,"order":558},"巴菲特：2003年对话田纳西大学学生","ba-fei-te-2003nian-dui-hua-tian-na-xi-da-xue-xue-sheng",{"title":563,"slug":564,"category":143,"order":565},"1976 巴菲特致股东信","1976-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",47,{"title":567,"slug":568,"category":148,"order":565},"巴菲特：2003年我为什么不看好美元","ba-fei-te-2003nian-wo-wei-shi-me-bu-kan-hao-mei-yuan",{"title":570,"slug":571,"category":143,"order":572},"1977 巴菲特致股东信","1977-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",48,{"title":574,"slug":575,"category":148,"order":572},"巴菲特：2003年沃伦在担心什么","ba-fei-te-2003nian-wo-lun-zai-dan-xin-shi-me",{"title":577,"slug":578,"category":143,"order":579},"1978 巴菲特致股东信","1978-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",49,{"title":581,"slug":582,"category":148,"order":579},"巴菲特：2003年股息巫术","ba-fei-te-2003nian-gu-xi-wu-shu",{"title":584,"slug":585,"category":143,"order":586},"1979 巴菲特致股东信","1979-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",50,{"title":588,"slug":589,"category":148,"order":586},"2004年：《巴菲特：2004年与塔克商学院学生对谈》","ba-fei-te-2004nian-yu-ta-ke-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng-dui-tan",{"title":591,"slug":592,"category":143,"order":593},"1980 巴菲特致股东信","1980-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",51,{"title":595,"slug":596,"category":148,"order":593},"巴菲特：2004年专访苏珊·巴菲特","ba-fei-te-2004nian-zhuan-fang-su-shan-ba-fei-te",{"title":598,"slug":599,"category":143,"order":600},"1981 巴菲特致股东信","1981-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",52,{"title":602,"slug":603,"category":148,"order":600},"巴菲特：2004年对话奥奎尔俱乐部","ba-fei-te-2004nian-dui-hua-ao-kui-er-ju-le-bu",{"title":605,"slug":606,"category":143,"order":607},"1982 巴菲特致股东信","1982-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",53,{"title":609,"slug":610,"category":148,"order":607},"巴菲特：2004年对话沃顿商学院学生","ba-fei-te-2004nian-dui-hua-wo-dun-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng",{"title":612,"slug":613,"category":143,"order":614},"1983 巴菲特致股东信","1983-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",54,{"title":616,"slug":617,"category":148,"order":614},"巴菲特：2004年模糊数学与股票期权","ba-fei-te-2004nian-mo-hu-shu-xue-yu-gu-piao-qi-quan",{"title":619,"slug":620,"category":143,"order":621},"1984 巴菲特致股东信","1984-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",55,{"title":623,"slug":624,"category":148,"order":621},"与沃伦·巴菲特的问答纪要 2005年","ba-fei-te-2005nian-jia-zhou-da-xue-luo-shan-ji-fen-xiao-an-de-sen-guan-li-xue-yuan-nan-jia-zhou-da-xue-ma-xie-er-shang-xue-yuan-wen-da-ji-yao",{"title":626,"slug":627,"category":143,"order":628},"1985 巴菲特致股东信","1985-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",56,{"title":630,"slug":631,"category":148,"order":628},"2005年：《巴菲特：2005年与塔克商学院学生对谈》","ba-fei-te-2005nian-yu-ta-ke-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng-dui-tan",{"title":633,"slug":634,"category":143,"order":635},"1986 巴菲特致股东信","1986-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",57,{"title":637,"slug":638,"category":148,"order":635},"巴菲特：2005年回忆进入证券行业","ba-fei-te-2005nian-hui-yi-jin-ru-zheng-quan-xing-ye",{"title":640,"slug":641,"category":143,"order":642},"1987 巴菲特致股东信","1987-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",58,{"title":644,"slug":645,"category":148,"order":642},"巴菲特：2005年对话内布拉斯加大学学生","ba-fei-te-2005nian-dui-hua-nei-bu-la-si-jia-da-xue-xue-sheng",{"title":647,"slug":648,"category":143,"order":649},"1988 巴菲特致股东信","1988-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",59,{"title":651,"slug":652,"category":148,"order":649},"巴菲特：2005年对话堪萨斯大学学生","ba-fei-te-2005nian-dui-hua-kan-sa-si-da-xue-xue-sheng",{"title":654,"slug":655,"category":143,"order":656},"1989 巴菲特致股东信","1989-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",60,{"title":658,"slug":659,"category":148,"order":656},"巴菲特：2005年对话范德比尔特大学学生","ba-fei-te-2005nian-dui-hua-fan-de-bi-er-te-da-xue-xue-sheng",{"title":661,"slug":662,"category":143,"order":663},"1990 巴菲特致股东信","1990-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",61,{"title":665,"slug":666,"category":148,"order":663},"巴菲特：2006年与沃顿商学院学生问答","ba-fei-te-2006nian-yu-wo-dun-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng-wen-da",{"title":668,"slug":669,"category":143,"order":670},"1991 巴菲特致股东信","1991-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",62,{"title":672,"slug":673,"category":148,"order":670},"巴菲特：2006年巴菲特慈善捐赠专访","ba-fei-te-2006nian-ba-fei-te-ci-shan-juan-zeng-zhuan-fang",{"title":675,"slug":676,"category":143,"order":677},"1992 巴菲特致股东信","1992-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",63,{"title":679,"slug":680,"category":148,"order":677},"巴菲特：2006年慈善捐赠承诺","ba-fei-te-2006nian-ci-shan-juan-zeng-cheng-nuo",{"title":682,"slug":683,"category":143,"order":684},"1993 巴菲特致股东信","1993-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",64,{"title":686,"slug":687,"category":148,"order":684},"巴菲特：2006年我为什么慷慨解囊","ba-fei-te-2006nian-wo-wei-shi-me-kang-kai-jie-nang",{"title":689,"slug":690,"category":143,"order":691},"1994 巴菲特致股东信","1994-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",65,{"title":693,"slug":694,"category":148,"order":691},"巴菲特：2006年给全体经理人备忘录","ba-fei-te-2006nian-gei-quan-ti-jing-li-ren-bei-wang-lu",{"title":696,"slug":697,"category":143,"order":698},"1995 巴菲特致股东信","1995-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",66,{"title":700,"slug":701,"category":148,"order":698},"巴菲特：2007年11月和比尔·盖茨、大学生对话实录（节目《富豪面对面》）","ba-fei-te-2007nian-11yue-he-bi-er-gai-ci-da-xue-sheng-dui-hua-shi-lu-jie-mu-fu-hao-mian-dui-mian",{"title":703,"slug":704,"category":143,"order":705},"1996 巴菲特致股东信","1996-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",67,{"title":707,"slug":708,"category":148,"order":705},"巴菲特：2007年对话佐治亚大学学生","ba-fei-te-2007nian-dui-hua-zuo-zhi-ya-da-xue-xue-sheng",{"title":710,"slug":711,"category":143,"order":712},"1997 巴菲特致股东信","1997-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",68,{"title":714,"slug":715,"category":148,"order":712},"巴菲特：2007年巴菲特接见Dardashti","ba-fei-te-2007nian-ba-fei-te-jie-jian-dardashti",{"title":717,"slug":718,"category":143,"order":719},"1998 巴菲特致股东信","1998-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",69,{"title":721,"slug":722,"category":148,"order":719},"巴菲特：2007年接受央视专访","ba-fei-te-2007nian-jie-shou-yang-shi-zhuan-fang",{"title":724,"slug":725,"category":143,"order":726},"1999 巴菲特致股东信","1999-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",70,{"title":728,"slug":729,"category":148,"order":726},"巴菲特：2007年接受欧洲MBA学生专访（珍贵精彩实录）","ba-fei-te-2007nian-jie-shou-ou-zhou-mbaxue-sheng-zhuan-fang-zhen-gui-jing-cai-shi-lu",{"title":731,"slug":732,"category":143,"order":733},"2000 巴菲特致股东信","2000-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",71,{"title":735,"slug":736,"category":148,"order":733},"巴菲特：2007年查理罗斯专访","ba-fei-te-2007nian-cha-li-luo-si-zhuan-fang",{"title":738,"slug":739,"category":143,"order":740},"2001 巴菲特致股东信","2001-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",72,{"title":742,"slug":743,"category":148,"order":740},"巴菲特：2008年21 世纪经济领导者采访","ba-fei-te-2008nian-21-shi-ji-jing-ji-ling-dao-zhe-cai-fang",{"title":745,"slug":746,"category":143,"order":747},"2002 巴菲特致股东信","2002-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",73,{"title":749,"slug":750,"category":148,"order":747},"巴菲特：2008年买入美国正当时","ba-fei-te-2008nian-mai-ru-mei-guo-zheng-dang-shi",{"title":752,"slug":753,"category":143,"order":754},"2003 巴菲特致股东信","2003-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",74,{"title":756,"slug":757,"category":148,"order":754},"巴菲特：2008年对话IVEY 商学院学生","ba-fei-te-2008nian-dui-hua-ivey-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng",{"title":759,"slug":760,"category":143,"order":761},"2004 巴菲特致股东信","2004-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",75,{"title":763,"slug":764,"category":148,"order":761},"巴菲特：2008年对话商学院学生","ba-fei-te-2008nian-dui-hua-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng",{"title":766,"slug":767,"category":143,"order":768},"2005 巴菲特致股东信","2005-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",76,{"title":770,"slug":771,"category":148,"order":768},"巴菲特：2008年对话瑞士洛桑国际管理学院","ba-fei-te-2008nian-dui-hua-rui-shi-luo-sang-guo-ji-guan-li-xue-yuan",{"title":773,"slug":774,"category":143,"order":775},"2006 巴菲特致股东信","2006-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",77,{"title":777,"slug":778,"category":148,"order":775},"巴菲特：2008年怀念恩师格雷厄姆","ba-fei-te-2008nian-huai-nian-en-shi-ge-lei-e-mu",{"title":780,"slug":781,"category":143,"order":782},"2007 巴菲特致股东信","2007-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",78,{"title":784,"slug":785,"category":148,"order":782},"巴菲特：2008年给保尔森的信","ba-fei-te-2008nian-gei-bao-er-sen-de-xin",{"title":787,"slug":788,"category":143,"order":789},"2008 巴菲特致股东信","2008-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",79,{"title":791,"slug":792,"category":148,"order":789},"巴菲特：2008年解析经济危机","ba-fei-te-2008nian-jie-xi-jing-ji-wei-ji",{"title":794,"slug":795,"category":143,"order":796},"2009 巴菲特致股东信","2009-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",80,{"title":798,"slug":799,"category":148,"order":796},"巴菲特：2008年财富杂志：沃伦之思","ba-fei-te-2008nian-cai-fu-za-zhi-wo-lun-zhi-si",{"title":801,"slug":802,"category":143,"order":803},"2010 巴菲特致股东信","2010-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",81,{"title":805,"slug":806,"category":148,"order":803},"巴菲特：2009年CNBC 专访","ba-fei-te-2009nian-cnbc-zhuan-fang",{"title":808,"slug":809,"category":143,"order":810},"2011 巴菲特致股东信","2011-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",82,{"title":812,"slug":813,"category":148,"order":810},"巴菲特：2009年对话六所商学院学生","ba-fei-te-2009nian-dui-hua-liu-suo-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng",{"title":815,"slug":816,"category":143,"order":817},"2012 巴菲特致股东信","2012-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",83,{"title":819,"slug":820,"category":148,"order":817},"巴菲特：2009年对话哥大商学院学生","ba-fei-te-2009nian-dui-hua-ge-da-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng",{"title":822,"slug":823,"category":143,"order":824},"2013 巴菲特致股东信","2013-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",84,{"title":826,"slug":827,"category":148,"order":824},"巴菲特：2009年恐慌是会传染的，我们必须做点什么","ba-fei-te-2009nian-kong-huang-shi-hui-chuan-ran-de-wo-men-bi-xu-zuo-dian-shi-me",{"title":829,"slug":830,"category":143,"order":831},"2014 伯克希尔的过去现在与未来","2014-bo-ke-xi-er-de-guo-qu-xian-zai-yu-wei-lai",85,{"title":833,"slug":834,"category":148,"order":831},"巴菲特：2009年收购BNSF 铁路","ba-fei-te-2009nian-shou-gou-bnsf-tie-lu",{"title":836,"slug":837,"category":143,"order":838},"2014 副董事长的思考","2014-fu-dong-shi-chang-de-si-kao",86,{"title":840,"slug":841,"category":148,"order":838},"巴菲特：2009年美元效应","ba-fei-te-2009nian-mei-yuan-xiao-ying",{"title":843,"slug":844,"category":143,"order":845},"2014 巴菲特致股东信","2014-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",87,{"title":847,"slug":848,"category":148,"order":845},"教学方法期刊","ba-fei-te-2009nian-a-ke-lun-da-xue-shang-xue-yuan-wen-da-shi-lu",{"title":850,"slug":851,"category":143,"order":852},"2015 巴菲特致股东信","2015-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",88,{"title":854,"slug":855,"category":148,"order":852},"巴菲特：2010年\"捐赠誓言\"计划","ba-fei-te-2010nian-juan-zeng-shi-yan-ji-hua",{"title":857,"slug":858,"category":143,"order":859},"2016 巴菲特致股东信","2016-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",89,{"title":861,"slug":862,"category":148,"order":859},"巴菲特：2010年CNBC 专访","ba-fei-te-2010nian-cnbc-zhuan-fang",{"title":864,"slug":865,"category":143,"order":866},"2017 巴菲特致股东信","2017-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",90,{"title":868,"slug":869,"category":148,"order":866},"巴菲特：2010年与罗克国度创始人、福布斯主编对谈","ba-fei-te-2010nian-yu-luo-ke-guo-du-chuang-shi-ren-fu-bu-si-zhu-bian-dui-tan",{"title":871,"slug":872,"category":143,"order":873},"2018 巴菲特致股东信","2018-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",91,{"title":875,"slug":876,"category":148,"order":873},"巴菲特：2010年央视财经采访","ba-fei-te-2010nian-yang-shi-cai-jing-cai-fang",{"title":878,"slug":879,"category":143,"order":880},"2019 巴菲特致股东信","2019-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",92,{"title":882,"slug":883,"category":148,"order":880},"巴菲特：2010年对话IVEY 商学院学生","ba-fei-te-2010nian-dui-hua-ivey-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng",{"title":885,"slug":886,"category":143,"order":887},"2020 巴菲特致股东信","2020-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",93,{"title":889,"slug":890,"category":148,"order":887},"巴菲特：2010年慈善中国行","ba-fei-te-2010nian-ci-shan-zhong-guo-xing",{"title":892,"slug":893,"category":143,"order":894},"2021 巴菲特致股东信","2021-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",94,{"title":896,"slug":897,"category":148,"order":894},"巴菲特：2010年给全体经理人备忘录","ba-fei-te-2010nian-gei-quan-ti-jing-li-ren-bei-wang-lu",{"title":899,"slug":900,"category":143,"order":901},"2022 巴菲特致股东信","2022-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",95,{"title":903,"slug":904,"category":148,"order":901},"巴菲特：2010年金融危机调查委员会专访","ba-fei-te-2010nian-jin-rong-wei-ji-diao-cha-wei-yuan-hui-zhuan-fang",{"title":906,"slug":907,"category":143,"order":908},"2023 巴菲特致股东信","2023-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",96,{"title":910,"slug":911,"category":148,"order":908},"巴菲特：2011年500 亿美元的决定","ba-fei-te-2011nian-500-yi-mei-yuan-de-jue-ding",{"title":913,"slug":914,"category":143,"order":915},"2024 巴菲特致股东信","2024-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",97,{"title":917,"slug":918,"category":148,"order":915},"巴菲特：2011年CNBC 专访","ba-fei-te-2011nian-cnbc-zhuan-fang",{"title":920,"slug":921,"category":143,"order":922},"2025 巴菲特致股东信","2025-ba-fei-te-zhi-gu-dong-xin",98,{"title":924,"slug":925,"category":148,"order":922},"巴菲特：2011年对话八所商学院学生","ba-fei-te-2011nian-dui-hua-ba-suo-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng",{"title":927,"slug":928,"category":143,"order":929},"2025 感恩节致辞","2025-gan-en-jie-zhi-ci",99,{"title":931,"slug":932,"category":148,"order":929},"巴菲特：2011年查理·罗斯专访","ba-fei-te-2011nian-cha-li-luo-si-zhuan-fang",{"title":934,"slug":935,"category":143,"order":936},"2026 阿贝尔致股东信","2026-a-bei-er-zhi-gu-dong-xin",100,{"title":938,"slug":939,"category":148,"order":936},"巴菲特：为何股票能跑赢黄金与债券","ba-fei-te-2012nian-wei-he-gu-piao-neng-pao-ying-huang-jin-yu-zhai-quan",{"title":941,"slug":942,"category":148,"order":943},"巴菲特：2012年对话IVEY 商学院学生","ba-fei-te-2012nian-dui-hua-ivey-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng",101,{"title":945,"slug":946,"category":148,"order":947},"巴菲特：2012年跳着踢踏舞去上班","ba-fei-te-2012nian-tiao-zhao-ti-ta-wu-qu-shang-ban",102,{"title":949,"slug":950,"category":148,"order":951},"巴菲特：2013年 《沃伦·巴菲特的办公时间访谈》","ba-fei-te-2013nian-wo-lun-ba-fei-te-de-ban-gong-shi-jian-fang-tan",103,{"title":953,"slug":954,"category":148,"order":955},"巴菲特：2013年乔治城大学演讲","ba-fei-te-2013nian-qiao-zhi-cheng-da-xue-yan-jiang",104,{"title":957,"slug":958,"category":148,"order":959},"巴菲特：2013年如何教孩子理财","ba-fei-te-2013nian-ru-he-jiao-hai-zi-li-cai",105,{"title":961,"slug":962,"category":148,"order":963},"巴菲特：2013年家族三代谈慈善","ba-fei-te-2013nian-jia-zu-san-dai-tan-ci-shan",106,{"title":965,"slug":966,"category":148,"order":967},"巴菲特：2013年对话八所商学院学生","ba-fei-te-2013nian-dui-hua-ba-suo-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng",107,{"title":969,"slug":970,"category":148,"order":971},"巴菲特：2014年CNBC 专访2014年3月3日","ba-fei-te-2014nian-cnbc-zhuan-fang-2014nian-3yue-3ri",108,{"title":973,"slug":974,"category":148,"order":975},"巴菲特：2014年CNBC 专访2014年5月5日","ba-fei-te-2014nian-cnbc-zhuan-fang-2014nian-5yue-5ri",109,{"title":977,"slug":978,"category":148,"order":979},"巴菲特：2014年与ivey商学院MBA学生会面纪要","ba-fei-te-2014nian-yu-iveyshang-xue-yuan-mbaxue-sheng-hui-mian-ji-yao",110,{"title":981,"slug":982,"category":148,"order":983},"巴菲特：2014年关于游牧者基金","ba-fei-te-2014nian-guan-yu-you-mu-zhe-ji-jin",111,{"title":985,"slug":986,"category":148,"order":987},"巴菲特：2014年给全体经理人备忘录","ba-fei-te-2014nian-gei-quan-ti-jing-li-ren-bei-wang-lu",112,{"title":989,"slug":990,"category":148,"order":991},"巴菲特：2014年谈可口可乐薪酬方案","ba-fei-te-2014nian-tan-ke-kou-ke-le-xin-chou-fang-an",113,{"title":993,"slug":994,"category":148,"order":995},"巴菲特：2015年对话IVEY 商学院学生","ba-fei-te-2015nian-dui-hua-ivey-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng",114,{"title":997,"slug":998,"category":148,"order":999},"巴菲特：2015年扩大所得税抵免比提高最低工资更好","ba-fei-te-2015nian-kuo-da-suo-de-shui-di-mian-bi-ti-gao-zui-di-gong-zi-geng-hao",115,{"title":1001,"slug":1002,"category":148,"order":1003},"亚利桑那州立大学雷鸟全球领导力教授杰夫·坎宁安采访沃伦·巴菲特（2015年）","ba-fei-te-2015nian-jie-shou-ya-li-sang-na-zhou-li-da-xue-ling-dao-li-jiao-shou-jie-fu-kan-ning-an-de-zhuan-fang-shi-lu",116,{"title":1005,"slug":1006,"category":148,"order":1007},"巴菲特：2015年追忆唐基奥","ba-fei-te-2015nian-zhui-yi-tang-ji-ao",117,{"title":1009,"slug":1010,"category":148,"order":1011},"巴菲特：2015慈善承诺倡议","ba-fei-te-2015ci-shan-cheng-nuo-chang-yi",118,{"title":1013,"slug":1014,"category":148,"order":1015},"巴菲特：2016年对话八所商学院学生2016","ba-fei-te-2016nian-dui-hua-ba-suo-shang-xue-yuan-xue-sheng-2016",119,{"title":1017,"slug":1018,"category":148,"order":1019},"标题：《巴菲特：2017 年哥伦比亚大学高校面谈——人生最美好的事是什么？》","ba-fei-te-2017-nian-ge-lun-bi-ya-da-xue-gao-xiao-mian-tan-ren-sheng-zui-mei-hao-de-shi-shi-shi-me",120,{"title":1021,"slug":1022,"category":148,"order":1023},"巴菲特：2017年对话北京大学学生：最好的投资是投资自己","ba-fei-te-2017nian-dui-hua-bei-jing-da-xue-xue-sheng-zui-hao-de-tou-zi-shi-tou-zi-zi-ji",121,{"title":1025,"slug":1026,"category":148,"order":1027},"巴菲特：2017年接受CNBC采访","ba-fei-te-2017nian-jie-shou-cnbccai-fang",122,{"title":1029,"slug":1030,"category":148,"order":1031},"巴菲特：2017年接受PBS NEWS专访","ba-fei-te-2017nian-jie-shou-pbs-newszhuan-fang",123,{"title":1033,"slug":1034,"category":148,"order":1035},"巴菲特：2017年查理·罗斯访谈：比尔·盖茨与沃伦·巴菲特","ba-fei-te-2017nian-cha-li-luo-si-fang-tan-bi-er-gai-ci-yu-wo-lun-ba-fei-te",124,{"title":1037,"slug":1038,"category":148,"order":1039},"巴菲特：2017年美国的未来","ba-fei-te-2017nian-mei-guo-de-wei-lai",125,{"title":1041,"slug":1042,"category":148,"order":1043},"巴菲特：2018年再度邀请北大光华学子共进午餐问答全记录","ba-fei-te-2018nian-zai-du-yao-qing-bei-da-guang-hua-xue-zi-gong-jin-wu-can-wen-da-quan-ji-lu",126,{"title":1045,"slug":1046,"category":148,"order":1047},"巴菲特：2018年时代周刊-分享美国财富的秘密","ba-fei-te-2018nian-shi-dai-zhou-kan-fen-xiang-mei-guo-cai-fu-de-mi-mi",127,{"title":1049,"slug":1050,"category":148,"order":1051},"巴菲特：2019年5月雅虎财经专访","ba-fei-te-2019nian-5yue-ya-hu-cai-jing-zhuan-fang",128,{"title":1053,"slug":1054,"category":148,"order":1055},"巴菲特：2019年与芒格及比尔盖茨接受CNBC采访","ba-fei-te-2019nian-yu-mang-ge-ji-bi-er-gai-ci-jie-shou-cnbccai-fang",129,{"title":1057,"slug":1058,"category":148,"order":1059},"巴菲特：2020年接受CNBC专访","ba-fei-te-2020nian-jie-shou-cnbczhuan-fang",130,{"title":1061,"slug":1062,"category":148,"order":1063},"巴菲特：2020年给内布拉斯加大学林肯分校2020届毕业生的建议","ba-fei-te-2020nian-gei-nei-bu-la-si-jia-da-xue-lin-ken-fen-xiao-2020jie-bi-ye-sheng-de-jian-yi",131,{"title":1065,"slug":1066,"category":148,"order":1067},"巴菲特：2021年专访《成为巴菲特》","ba-fei-te-2021nian-zhuan-fang-cheng-wei-ba-fei-te",132,{"title":1069,"slug":1070,"category":148,"order":1071},"巴菲特：2021年巴菲特芒格接受CNBC专访","ba-fei-te-2021nian-ba-fei-te-mang-ge-jie-shou-cnbczhuan-fang",133,{"title":1073,"slug":1074,"category":148,"order":1075},"巴菲特：2021年让观众无言以对 !有史以来最鼓舞人心的演讲之一","ba-fei-te-2021nian-rang-guan-zhong-wu-yan-yi-dui-you-shi-yi-lai-zui-gu-wu-ren-xin-de-yan-jiang-zhi-yi",134,{"title":1077,"slug":1078,"category":148,"order":1079},"巴菲特：2021年采访《沃伦·巴菲特的投资策略：如何像传奇一样生活和投资（完整访谈）》","ba-fei-te-2021nian-cai-fang-wo-lun-ba-fei-te-de-tou-zi-ce-lue-ru-he-xiang-chuan-qi-yi-yang-sheng-huo-he-tou-zi-wan-zheng-fang-tan",135,{"title":1081,"slug":1082,"category":148,"order":1083},"巴菲特：2022年32 届年度格雷厄姆和多德早餐会","ba-fei-te-2022nian-32-jie-nian-du-ge-lei-e-mu-he-duo-de-zao-can-hui",136,{"title":1085,"slug":1086,"category":148,"order":1087},"巴菲特：2022年和查理罗斯对谈","ba-fei-te-2022nian-he-cha-li-luo-si-dui-tan",137,{"title":1089,"slug":1090,"category":148,"order":1091},"巴菲特：2023年 查理芒格：伯克希尔的总设计师","ba-fei-te-2023nian-cha-li-mang-ge-bo-ke-xi-er-de-zong-she-ji-shi",138,{"title":1093,"slug":1094,"category":148,"order":1095},"巴菲特：初学者如何投资--3 条简单的规则","ba-fei-te-2023nian-chu-xue-zhe-ru-he-tou-zi-3-tiao-jian-dan-de-gui-ze",139,{"title":1097,"slug":1098,"category":148,"order":1099},"巴菲特：2023年接受CNBC专访","ba-fei-te-2023nian-jie-shou-cnbczhuan-fang",140,{"title":1101,"slug":1102,"category":148,"order":1103},"巴菲特：每个投资者都会犯的 10 个错误","ba-fei-te-2023nian-mei-ge-tou-zi-zhe-du-hui-fan-de-10-ge-cuo-wu",141,{"title":1105,"slug":1106,"category":148,"order":1107},"巴菲特：2025年接受cbs采访","ba-fei-te-2025nian-jie-shou-cbscai-fang",142,{"title":1109,"slug":1110,"category":148,"order":1111},"2026伯克希尔股东大会 CNBC专访巴菲特（完整纯中文）","2026bo-ke-xi-er-gu-dong-da-hui-cnbczhuan-fang-ba-fei-te",143,{"title":1113,"slug":1114,"category":148,"order":1115},"巴菲特：2026年最新采访 CNBC《财经论谈》","ba-fei-te-2026nian-zui-xin-cai-fang-cnbc-cai-jing-lun-tan",144,{"title":1117,"slug":1118,"category":148,"order":1119},"伯克希尔50 周年：过去、现在和未来","bo-ke-xi-er-50-zhou-nian-guo-qu-xian-zai-he-wei-lai",145,{"title":1121,"slug":1122,"category":148,"order":1123},"巴菲特72条投资经典语录","ba-fei-te-72tiao-tou-zi-jing-dian-yu-lu",146,{"title":1125,"slug":1126,"category":148,"order":1127},"巴菲特：你应该了解珠宝生意","ba-fei-te-ni-ying-gai-liao-jie-zhu-bao-sheng-yi",147,{"title":1129,"slug":1130,"category":148,"order":1131},"巴菲特：如何建立能力圈","ba-fei-te-ru-he-jian-li-neng-li-quan",148,{"title":1133,"slug":1134,"category":148,"order":1135},"巴菲特：巴菲特估值逻辑","ba-fei-te-ba-fei-te-gu-zhi-luo-ji",149,{"title":1137,"slug":1138,"category":148,"order":1139},"康布斯：在普通股中寻找价值","kang-bu-si-zai-pu-tong-gu-zhong-xun-zhao-jie-zhi",150,{"title":1141,"slug":1142,"category":148,"order":1143},"考夫曼：Glenair 企业文化","kao-fu-man-glenair-qi-ye-wen-hua",151,[1145,1149,1152,1155,1158,1161,1164,1167,1170,1174,1178,1181,1184,1187,1190,1193,1196,1199,1202,1205,1208,1211,1214,1217,1220,1224,1227,1230,1233,1236,1239,1242,1245,1248,1251,1255,1258,1261,1264,1267,1270,1273,1276,1280,1283,1286,1289,1292,1295,1298,1301,1304,1307,1310,1313,1316,1319,1322,1325,1328,1331,1334,1337,1340,1343,1346,1349,1352,1355,1358,1361,1366,1370,1374,1378,1382,1386,1390,1394,1398,1402,1406,1410,1414,1418,1422,1426,1430,1434,1438,1442],{"title":1146,"slug":1147,"category":1148,"order":144},"本分","benfen","核心哲学",{"title":1150,"slug":1151,"category":1148,"order":107},"平常心","pingchangxin",{"title":1153,"slug":1154,"category":1148,"order":165},"做对的事情","zuoduideshiqing",{"title":1156,"slug":1157,"category":1148,"order":175},"把事情做对","bashiqingzuodui",{"title":1159,"slug":1160,"category":1148,"order":185},"能力圈","nengliquan",{"title":1162,"slug":1163,"category":1148,"order":195},"不做什么","buzuoshenme",{"title":1165,"slug":1166,"category":1148,"order":205},"敢为天下后","ganweitianxiahou",{"title":1168,"slug":1169,"category":1148,"order":215},"消费者导向","xiaofeizhedaoxiang",{"title":1171,"slug":1172,"category":1173,"order":225},"价值投资","jiazhitouzi","投资理念",{"title":1175,"slug":1176,"category":1177,"order":235},"负债","fuzhai","财务指标",{"title":1179,"slug":1180,"category":1173,"order":235},"商业模式","shangyemoshi",{"title":1182,"slug":1183,"category":1173,"order":245},"护城河","huchenghe",{"title":1185,"slug":1186,"category":1177,"order":245},"净现金","jingxianjin",{"title":1188,"slug":1189,"category":1177,"order":130},"开销合理性","kaixiaohelixing",{"title":1191,"slug":1192,"category":1173,"order":130},"现金流","xianjinliu",{"title":1194,"slug":1195,"category":1177,"order":264},"真实利润","zhenshilirun",{"title":1197,"slug":1198,"category":1173,"order":264},"折现","zhexian",{"title":1200,"slug":1201,"category":1173,"order":274},"安全边际","anquanbianji",{"title":1203,"slug":1204,"category":1177,"order":274},"扣除商誉的净资产","jingzichan",{"title":1206,"slug":1207,"category":1173,"order":284},"基本面","jibenmian",{"title":1209,"slug":1210,"category":1173,"order":294},"机会成本","jihuichengben",{"title":1212,"slug":1213,"category":1173,"order":304},"长期持有","zhangqichiyou",{"title":1215,"slug":1216,"category":1173,"order":314},"投机","touji",{"title":1218,"slug":1219,"category":1173,"order":324},"止损","zhisun",{"title":1221,"slug":1222,"category":1223,"order":334},"企业文化","qiyewenhua","企业经营",{"title":1225,"slug":1226,"category":1223,"order":344},"品牌","pinpai",{"title":1228,"slug":1229,"category":1223,"order":354},"差异化","chayihua",{"title":1231,"slug":1232,"category":1223,"order":364},"用户体验","yonghutiyan",{"title":1234,"slug":1235,"category":1223,"order":374},"渠道","qudao",{"title":1237,"slug":1238,"category":1223,"order":384},"平台","pingtai",{"title":1240,"slug":1241,"category":1223,"order":394},"生态系统","shengtaixitong",{"title":1243,"slug":1244,"category":1223,"order":404},"单一产品","danyichanpin",{"title":1246,"slug":1247,"category":1223,"order":414},"造钟人","zaozhongren",{"title":1249,"slug":1250,"category":1223,"order":424},"利润之上的追求","lirunzhishangdezhuiqiu",{"title":1252,"slug":1253,"category":1254,"order":434},"进取心","jinquxin","品格与心性",{"title":1256,"slug":1257,"category":1254,"order":444},"耐心","naixin",{"title":1259,"slug":1260,"category":1254,"order":454},"责任心","zerenxin",{"title":1262,"slug":1263,"category":1254,"order":464},"爱心","aixin",{"title":1265,"slug":1266,"category":1254,"order":474},"信誉","xinyu",{"title":1268,"slug":1269,"category":1254,"order":481},"正直","zhengzhi",{"title":1271,"slug":1272,"category":1254,"order":488},"理性","lixing",{"title":1274,"slug":1275,"category":1254,"order":495},"长期主义","zhangqizhuyi",{"title":1277,"slug":1278,"category":1279,"order":936},"1999年 《都市快报》采访手记","duanyongping-1999nian-doushikuaibao-caifangshouji","访谈实录",{"title":1281,"slug":1282,"category":1279,"order":943},"1999年 步步高讲话","duanyongping-1999nian-bubugaojianghua",{"title":1284,"slug":1285,"category":1279,"order":947},"1999年做客人民大学精彩问答实录","duanyongping-1999nianzuokerenmindaxuejingcaiwendashilu",{"title":1287,"slug":1288,"category":1279,"order":951},"2000年 《销售与市场》杂志专访","duanyongping-2000nian-xiaoshouyushichang-zazhizhuanfang",{"title":1290,"slug":1291,"category":1279,"order":955},"2000年在央视“品牌与传播国际论坛”上的演讲","duanyongping-2000nianzaiyangshi-pinpaiyuchuanboguojiluntan-shangdeyanjiang",{"title":1293,"slug":1294,"category":1279,"order":959},"2000追逐世界的节奏 —— 《经营者》杂志2000年，步步高总经理访谈记录","duanyongping-2000zhuizhushijiedejiezou-jingyingzhe-zazhi2000nian-bubugaozongjing",{"title":1296,"slug":1297,"category":1279,"order":963},"2001《经营天下：高峰论坛 之 段永平》—— 2001年末中国20位行业巨头面对面访谈录","duanyongping-2001-jingyingtianxia-gaofengluntan-zhi-duanyongping-2001nianmozhong",{"title":1299,"slug":1300,"category":1279,"order":967},"2001年 我为什么要去读书？ —— 《读者》2001年11月刊","duanyongping-2001nian-woweishenmeyaoqudushu-duzhe-2001nian11yuekan",{"title":1302,"slug":1303,"category":1279,"order":971},"2001年《世界经理人文摘》专访","duanyongping-2001nian-shijiejinglirenwenzhai-zhuanfang",{"title":1305,"slug":1306,"category":1279,"order":975},"2002年 CCTV2经济频道《卖点》栏目采访：投影机能否走进家庭？","duanyongping-2002nian-cctv2jingjipindao-maidian-lanmucaifang-touyingjinengfouzou",{"title":1308,"slug":1309,"category":1279,"order":979},"2003年北京大学总裁班演讲座谈会全程实录","duanyongping-2003nianbeijingdaxuezongcaibanyanjiangzuotanhuiquanchengshilu",{"title":1311,"slug":1312,"category":1279,"order":983},"2004财富人生—段永平 2004 采访","duanyongping-2004caifurensheng-duanyongping-2004-caifang",{"title":1314,"slug":1315,"category":1279,"order":987},"2005年步步高十周年“记”念晚会：段永平发言","duanyongping-2005nianbubugaoshizhounian-ji-nianwanhui-duanyongpingfayan",{"title":1317,"slug":1318,"category":1279,"order":991},"2006年 深度对话网易证券全程实录","duanyongping-2006nian-shenduduihuawangyizhengquanquanchengshilu",{"title":1320,"slug":1321,"category":1279,"order":995},"2006年做客新浪财经频道聊天全实录","duanyongping-2006nianzuokexinlangcaijingpindaoliaotianquanshilu",{"title":1323,"slug":1324,"category":1279,"order":999},"2006年浙大“实话实说”","duanyongping-2006nianzheda-shihuashishuo",{"title":1326,"slug":1327,"category":1279,"order":1003},"2007年与巴菲特共进午餐后网易专访","duanyongping-2007nianyubafeitegongjinwucanhouwangyizhuanfang",{"title":1329,"slug":1330,"category":1279,"order":1007},"2007年波士堂访谈","duanyongping-2007nianboshitangfangtan",{"title":1332,"slug":1333,"category":1279,"order":1011},"2009年 深度专访： 探讨公益人生，分享成功体会","duanyongping-2009nian-shenduzhuanfang-tantaogongyirensheng-fenxiangchenggongtihu",{"title":1335,"slug":1336,"category":1279,"order":1015},"2009年《21世纪经济报道》独家专访：我不认为巴菲特是股神（2009年）","duanyongping-2009nian-21shijijingjibaodao-dujiazhuanfang-woburenweibafeiteshigus",{"title":1338,"slug":1339,"category":1279,"order":1019},"2009浙大MBA分享：企业追求的是稳健的发展，基本功最重要","duanyongping-2009zhedambafenxiang-qiyezhuiqiudeshiwenjiandefazhan-jibengongzuizh",{"title":1341,"slug":1342,"category":1279,"order":1023},"2010年 步步高董事长段永平和人大校长纪宝成记者会实录","duanyongping-2010nian-bubugaodongshizhangduanyongpingherendaxiaozhangjibaochengj",{"title":1344,"slug":1345,"category":1279,"order":1027},"2011年买入苹果思考","duanyongping-2011nianmairupingguosikao",{"title":1347,"slug":1348,"category":1279,"order":1031},"2013年浙大演讲","duanyongping-2013nianzhedayanjiang",{"title":1350,"slug":1351,"category":1279,"order":1035},"2016年浙大60周年专访","duanyongping-2016nianzheda60zhounianzhuanfang",{"title":1353,"slug":1354,"category":1279,"order":1039},"2025年浙江大学演讲及问答完整版","duanyongping-2025nianzhejiangdaxueyanjiangjiwendawanzhengban",{"title":1356,"slug":1357,"category":1279,"order":1043},"2025年谈躺平与内卷、与王石交流子女教育","duanyongping-2025niantantangpingyuneijuan-yuwangshijiaoliuzinvjiaoyu",{"title":1359,"slug":1360,"category":1279,"order":1047},"2025年： 方三文对话段永平：做自己能够喜欢的事情很重要","duanyongping-2025nian-fangsanwenduihuaduanyongping-zuozijinenggouxihuandeshiqing",{"title":1362,"slug":1363,"category":1364,"order":1365},"问答录：第一章 投资大道","dadaotouziwendalu-diyizhangtouzidadao","投资问答录",200,{"title":1367,"slug":1368,"category":1364,"order":1369},"问答录：第二章 商业模式和企业文化","dadaotouziwendalu-dierzhangshangyemoshiheqiyewenhua",201,{"title":1371,"slug":1372,"category":1364,"order":1373},"问答录：第三章 公司点评","dadaotouziwendalu-disanzhanggongsidianping",202,{"title":1375,"slug":1376,"category":1364,"order":1377},"问答录：第四章 人生箴言","dadaotouziwendalu-disizhangrenshengzhenyan",203,{"title":1379,"slug":1380,"category":1364,"order":1381},"问答录：第五章 演讲与访谈","dadaotouziwendalu-diwuzhangyanjiangyufangtan",204,{"title":1383,"slug":1384,"category":1364,"order":1385},"问答录：第六章 更新","dadaotouziwendalu-diliuzhangduzhegengxin",205,{"title":1387,"slug":1388,"category":1364,"order":1389},"商业逻辑篇：第1节：伟大企业","duanyongping-shangyeluoji-di1jie-weidaqiye",401,{"title":1391,"slug":1392,"category":1364,"order":1393},"商业逻辑篇：第2节：商业模式","duanyongping-shangyeluoji-di2jie-shangyemoshi",402,{"title":1395,"slug":1396,"category":1364,"order":1397},"商业逻辑篇：第3节：企业文化","duanyongping-shangyeluoji-di3jie-qiyewenhua",403,{"title":1399,"slug":1400,"category":1364,"order":1401},"商业逻辑篇：第4节：产品、差异化与创新","duanyongping-shangyeluoji-di4jie-chanpin-chayihua-yu-chuangxin",404,{"title":1403,"slug":1404,"category":1364,"order":1405},"商业逻辑篇：第5节：品牌、营销与广告","duanyongping-shangyeluoji-di5jie-pinpai-yingxiao-yu-guanggao",405,{"title":1407,"slug":1408,"category":1364,"order":1409},"商业逻辑篇：第6节：收购和多元化","duanyongping-shangyeluoji-di6jie-shougouheduoyuanhua",406,{"title":1411,"slug":1412,"category":1364,"order":1413},"商业逻辑篇：第7节：Stop doing list（不为清单）","duanyongping-shangyeluoji-di7jie-stop-doing-list-buweiqingdan",407,{"title":1415,"slug":1416,"category":1364,"order":1417},"投资问答录商业逻辑篇：前言：买股票就是买公司","duanyongping-shangyeluoji-qianyan-maiqushoujiiumaishangsi",408,{"title":1419,"slug":1420,"category":1364,"order":1421},"投资逻辑篇：第1章：投资理念","duanyongping-touziluoji-di1zhang-touzilinian",410,{"title":1423,"slug":1424,"category":1364,"order":1425},"投资逻辑篇：第2章：投资理解","duanyongping-touziluoji-di2jie-touzilijie",411,{"title":1427,"slug":1428,"category":1364,"order":1429},"投资问答录：第3章 golf和投资","duanyongping-touziluoji-di3zhang-golfhetouzi",412,{"title":1431,"slug":1432,"category":1364,"order":1433},"投资逻辑篇：第4章 财务理解","duanyongping-touziwendalu-touziluoji-di4zhang-caiwulijie",413,{"title":1435,"slug":1436,"category":1364,"order":1437},"投资逻辑篇：第5章：估值逻辑","duanyongping-touziluoji-di5zhang-guzhiluoji",414,{"title":1439,"slug":1440,"category":1364,"order":1441},"投资逻辑篇：第6章 投资方法论","duanyongping-touziluoji-di6zhang-touzifangfalun",415,{"title":1443,"slug":1444,"category":1364,"order":1445},"投资逻辑篇：第7章：案例分析","duanyongping-touziluoji-di7zhang-anlifenxi",416,[1447,1450,1453,1456,1460,1464,1467,1470,1471,1474,1477,1480,1481,1484,1487,1490,1493,1497,1500,1503,1506,1509,1513,1516,1519,1521,1524,1527,1530,1533,1536,1539,1542,1545,1548,1551,1554,1557,1560,1563,1566,1569,1572,1575,1578,1581,1584,1587,1590,1593,1596,1599,1602,1605,1608,1611,1614,1617,1620,1623,1626,1629,1632,1635,1638,1641,1645,1648,1651,1654,1657,1661,1664,1667,1670],{"title":1159,"slug":1448,"category":1449,"order":144},"ability-circle","决策与战略",{"title":1451,"slug":1452,"category":1449,"order":107},"逆向思维","inversion",{"title":1209,"slug":1454,"category":1455,"order":165},"opportunity-cost","经济学",{"title":1457,"slug":1458,"category":1459,"order":175},"复利","compound-interest","数学与概率论",{"title":1461,"slug":1462,"category":1463,"order":185},"激励机制","incentives","心理学",{"title":1465,"slug":1466,"category":1459,"order":195},"概率思维","probabilistic-thinking",{"title":1468,"slug":126,"category":1469,"order":205},"二阶效应","哲学与逻辑",{"title":1200,"slug":125,"category":1449,"order":215},{"title":1472,"slug":1473,"category":1463,"order":225},"心理误判","psychology-of-misjudgment",{"title":1475,"slug":1476,"category":1449,"order":235},"检查清单","checklist",{"title":1478,"slug":1479,"category":1455,"order":245},"规模优势","scale-advantage",{"title":5,"slug":135,"category":117,"order":130},{"title":1482,"slug":1483,"category":1459,"order":264},"排列组合","combinatorics",{"title":1485,"slug":1486,"category":1459,"order":274},"费马-帕斯卡","fermat-pascal",{"title":1488,"slug":1489,"category":1459,"order":284},"均值回归","regression-to-the-mean",{"title":1491,"slug":1492,"category":1459,"order":294},"量化分析","quantitative-analysis",{"title":1494,"slug":1495,"category":1496,"order":304},"临界点\u002F相变","critical-point-phase-transition","物理学",{"title":1498,"slug":1499,"category":1496,"order":314},"平衡态","equilibrium",{"title":1501,"slug":1502,"category":1496,"order":324},"熵增定律","entropy",{"title":1504,"slug":1505,"category":1496,"order":334},"能量守恒","conservation-of-energy",{"title":1507,"slug":1508,"category":1496,"order":344},"杠杆原理","leverage",{"title":1510,"slug":1511,"category":1512,"order":354},"自然选择","natural-selection","生物学\u002F进化论",{"title":1514,"slug":1515,"category":1512,"order":364},"物竞天择","competition-for-resources",{"title":1517,"slug":1518,"category":1512,"order":374},"进化思维","evolutionary-thinking",{"title":1240,"slug":1520,"category":1512,"order":384},"ecosystem",{"title":1522,"slug":1523,"category":1463,"order":394},"爱好倾向","liking-tendency",{"title":1525,"slug":1526,"category":1463,"order":404},"讨厌倾向","disliking-tendency",{"title":1528,"slug":1529,"category":1463,"order":414},"避免怀疑倾向","doubt-avoidance-tendency",{"title":1531,"slug":1532,"category":1463,"order":424},"一致性倾向","consistency-tendency",{"title":1534,"slug":1535,"category":1463,"order":434},"好奇心倾向","curiosity-tendency",{"title":1537,"slug":1538,"category":1463,"order":444},"康德式公平","kantian-fairness",{"title":1540,"slug":1541,"category":1463,"order":454},"艳羡\u002F妒忌倾向","envy-jealousy-tendency",{"title":1543,"slug":1544,"category":1463,"order":464},"反馈倾向","reciprocation-tendency",{"title":1546,"slug":1547,"category":1463,"order":474},"权威误导","authority-misinfluence",{"title":1549,"slug":1550,"category":1463,"order":481},"重视理由","reason-respecting-tendency",{"title":1552,"slug":1553,"category":1463,"order":488},"过度乐观","over-optimism",{"title":1555,"slug":1556,"category":1463,"order":495},"损失厌恶","loss-aversion",{"title":1558,"slug":1559,"category":1463,"order":502},"否认倾向","denial-tendency",{"title":1561,"slug":1562,"category":1463,"order":509},"过度反应","overreaction-tendency",{"title":1564,"slug":1565,"category":1463,"order":516},"社群影响","social-influence",{"title":1567,"slug":1568,"category":1463,"order":523},"压力倾向","stress-influence-tendency",{"title":1570,"slug":1571,"category":1463,"order":530},"物质主义","materialism-tendency",{"title":1573,"slug":1574,"category":1463,"order":537},"废话倾向","twaddle-tendency",{"title":1576,"slug":1577,"category":1463,"order":544},"确认偏误","confirmation-bias",{"title":1579,"slug":1580,"category":1463,"order":551},"锚定效应","anchoring-effect",{"title":1582,"slug":1583,"category":1463,"order":558},"现时偏差","present-bias",{"title":1585,"slug":1586,"category":1463,"order":565},"贪婪倾向","greed-tendency",{"title":1588,"slug":1589,"category":1455,"order":572},"边际成本\u002F收益","marginal-cost-benefit",{"title":1591,"slug":1592,"category":1455,"order":579},"供需关系","supply-and-demand",{"title":1594,"slug":1595,"category":1455,"order":586},"帕累托最优","pareto-optimality",{"title":1597,"slug":1598,"category":1455,"order":593},"竞争性毁灭","creative-destruction",{"title":1600,"slug":1601,"category":1449,"order":600},"双轨分析","two-track-analysis",{"title":1603,"slug":1604,"category":1449,"order":607},"非线性思维","nonlinear-thinking",{"title":1606,"slug":1607,"category":1449,"order":614},"极化思考","extreme-thinking",{"title":1609,"slug":1610,"category":1449,"order":621},"必要功","necessary-work",{"title":1612,"slug":1613,"category":117,"order":628},"停机问题","halting-problem",{"title":1615,"slug":1616,"category":117,"order":635},"闭环系统","closed-loop-system",{"title":1618,"slug":1619,"category":117,"order":642},"故障安全","fail-safe",{"title":1621,"slug":1622,"category":117,"order":649},"反向设计","reverse-design",{"title":1624,"slug":1625,"category":117,"order":656},"瓶颈分析","bottleneck-analysis",{"title":1627,"slug":1628,"category":1469,"order":663},"第一性原理","first-principles",{"title":1630,"slug":1631,"category":1469,"order":670},"证伪思维","falsification",{"title":1633,"slug":1634,"category":1469,"order":677},"奥卡姆剃刀","occams-razor",{"title":1636,"slug":1637,"category":1469,"order":684},"中道思维","middle-way",{"title":1639,"slug":1640,"category":1469,"order":691},"不可知论","agnosticism",{"title":1642,"slug":1643,"category":1644,"order":698},"大数定律","law-of-large-numbers","统计学",{"title":1646,"slug":1647,"category":1644,"order":705},"样本偏差","sample-bias",{"title":1649,"slug":1650,"category":1644,"order":712},"相关性≠因果","correlation-not-causation",{"title":1652,"slug":1653,"category":1644,"order":719},"幸存者偏差","survivorship-bias",{"title":1655,"slug":1656,"category":1644,"order":726},"基本比率","base-rate",{"title":1658,"slug":1659,"category":1660,"order":733},"社会认同","social-proof","社会学",{"title":1662,"slug":1663,"category":1660,"order":740},"部落本能","tribal-instinct",{"title":1665,"slug":1666,"category":1660,"order":747},"金蛋定律","golden-egg-rule",{"title":1668,"slug":1669,"category":1660,"order":754},"互利共生","mutualism",{"title":1671,"slug":1672,"category":1660,"order":761},"激励传导","incentive-transmission",1778147273235]